Robot Navy Wars: The Next Big Threat?
Robot Navy Wars: The Next Big Threat?
David Axem, The National Interest • July 21, 2019
“The immediate danger from militarized artificial
intelligence isn't hordes of killer robots, nor the exponential pace of a new
arms race,” Evan Karlik, a U.S. Navy lieutenant commander, wrote for Nikkei
Asian Review. “As recent events in the Strait of Hormuz indicate, the bigger
risk is the fact that autonomous military craft make for tempting targets --
and increase the potential for miscalculation on and above the high seas,”
Karlik wrote.
The proliferation of robotic warships could make naval
warfare safer for human beings. But it also could have the unintended effect of
reducing the threshold for military action.
Recent events in the Strait of Hormuz underscore that
danger. In the summer of 2019 U.S. and Iranian forces each shot down a
surveillance drone belonging to the other side, escalating tensions that began
with U.S. president Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw the United States from
the 2015 deal limiting Iran’s nuclear program.
“The immediate danger from militarized artificial
intelligence isn't hordes of killer robots, nor the exponential pace of a new
arms race,” Evan Karlik, a U.S. Navy lieutenant commander, wrote for Nikkei
Asian Review.
“As recent events in the Strait of Hormuz indicate, the
bigger risk is the fact that autonomous military craft make for tempting
targets -- and increase the potential for miscalculation on and above the high
seas,” Karlik wrote.
While less provocative than planes, vehicles, or ships
with human crew or troops aboard, unmanned systems are also perceived as
relatively expendable. Danger arises when they lower the threshold for military
action.
If China dispatched a billion-dollar U.S. destroyer and a
portion of its crew to the bottom of the Taiwan Strait, a war declaration from
Washington and mobilization to the region would undoubtedly follow. But should
a Chinese missile suddenly destroy an orbiting, billion-dollar U.S.
intelligence satellite, the White House and the U.S. Congress might opt to
avoid immediate escalation.
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