Tesla's Elon Musk : 5-10% Chance Humanity Survives AI...
Tesla's Elon Musk warns we only have 'a 5 to 10% chance'
of preventing killers robots from destroying humanity
Elon Musk was speaking to employees at his firm,
Neuralink, this month
He said that efforts to make AI safe only have 'a 5-10%
chance of success'
The warning comes shortly after Musk said that regulation
of AI was drastically needed because it's a 'fundamental risk to the existence
of human civilisation'
By Shivali Best For Mailonline PUBLISHED: 08:50 EST, 23
November 2017 | UPDATED: 08:50 EST, 23 November 2017
Elon Musk has been very vocal about his concerns over
artificial intelligence, and now the Tesla and SpaceX CEO has quantified his
worries.
In a recent talk, Musk claimed that efforts to make AI
safe only have 'a five to 10 per cent chance of success.'
The warning comes shortly after Musk claimed that
regulation of artificial intelligence was drastically needed because it's a
'fundamental risk to the existence of human civilisation.'
WHAT IS NEURALINK?
Elon Musk's latest company Neuralink is working to link
the human brain with a machine interface by creating micron-sized devices.
Neuralink was registered in California as a 'medical
research' company last July, and he plans on funding the company mostly by
himself.
It will work on what Musk calls the 'neural lace'
technology, implanting tiny brain electrodes that may one day upload and
download thoughts.
He said 'neural laces' will help people with severe brain
injuries in just four years.
And in eight to ten years, the Matrix-style technology
will be available to everyone, he added.
Musk was giving a talk to employees at one of his
companies, Neuralink, which is working on ways to implant technology into our
brains to create mind-computer interfaces, according to Rolling Stone.
He didn't hold back on his predictions about making AI
safe, saying there was 'maybe a five to 10 per cent chance of success.'
Musk added that the employees should 'sleep well' after
his warning.
But the CEO then ate a piece of popcorn, before coughing,
and added: 'We're talking about threats to humanity, and I'm going to choke to
death on popcorn.'
His latest claims follow a warning he made in July that
regulation of artificial intelligence is needed because it's a 'fundamental
risk to the existence of human civilisation.'
The billionaire said regulations will stop humanity from
being outsmarted by computers, or 'deep intelligence in the network', that can
start wars by manipulating information.
Governments must have a better understanding of
artificial intelligence technology's rapid evolution in order to fully
comprehend the risks, he said.
'Once there is awareness, people will be extremely
afraid, as they should be...By the time we are reactive in AI regulation, it'll
be too late,' he added.
The billionaire made the comments during a
question-and-answer session at the summer conference of the National Governors
Association in Rhode Island.
'Normally the way regulations are set up is when a bunch
of bad things happen, there's a public outcry, and after many years a
regulatory agency is set up to regulate that industry,' said Musk.
When asked at the 2016 Code Conference in California if
the answer to the question of whether we are in a simulated computer game was
'yes', Elon Musk said 'probably.'
Musk believes that computer game technology, particularly
virtual reality, is already approaching a point that it is indistinguishable
from reality.
'If you assume any rate of improvement at all, then the
games will become indistinguishable from reality, just indistinguishable,' he
said.
'Even if the speed of those advancements dropped by 1000,
'We are clearly on a trajectory to have games
indistinguishable from reality, and there would be billions of there.
'It would seem to follow that the odds that we're in
'base reality' is one in billions', Mr Musk said.
'It takes forever. That, in the past, has been bad but
not something which represented a fundamental risk to the existence of
civilisation.'
Pressed for more specific guidance, Musk said the first
step is for government to get a better understanding of the fast-moving
achievements in developing artificial intelligence technology.
The Tesla and SpaceX founder was reiterating his
long-held argument that it is needed soon to protect humanity from intelligent
machines.
He has previously compared AI to 'summoning the
devil'.
When asked at the 2016 Code Conference in California if
the answer to the question of whether we are in a simulated computer game was
'yes', Musk said 'probably.'
Musk believes that computer game technology, particularly
virtual reality, is already approaching a point that it is indistinguishable
from reality.
'If you assume any rate of improvement at all, then the
games will become indistinguishable from reality, just indistinguishable,' he
said.
'Even if the speed of those advancements dropped by 1000.
'We are clearly on a trajectory to have games
indistinguishable from reality, and there would be billions of there.
'It would seem to follow that the odds that we're in
'base reality' is one in billions', Musk said.
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