By 2045 'The Top Species Will No Longer Be Humans,' And That Could Be A Problem
By 2045 'The Top Species Will No Longer Be Humans,' And
That Could Be A Problem
DYLAN LOVE
JUL. 5, 2014, 8:33 AM
"Today there's no legislation regarding how much
intelligence a machine can have, how interconnected it can be. If that
continues, look at the exponential trend. We will reach the singularity in the
timeframe most experts predict. From that point on you're going to see that the
top species will no longer be humans, but machines."
These are the words of Louis Del Monte, physicist,
entrepreneur, and author of "The Artificial Intelligence Revolution."
Del Monte spoke to us over the phone about his thoughts surrounding artificial
intelligence and the singularity, an indeterminate point in the future when
machine intelligence will outmatch not only your own intelligence, but the
world's combined human intelligence too.
The average estimate for when this will happen is 2040,
though Del Monte says it might be as late as 2045. Either way, it's a timeframe
of within three decades.
"It won't be the 'Terminator' scenario, not a
war," said Del Monte. "In the early part of the post-singularity world,
one scenario is that the machines will seek to turn humans into cyborgs. This
is nearly happening now, replacing faulty limbs with artificial parts. We'll
see the machines as a useful tool. Productivity in business based on automation
will be increased dramatically in various countries. In China it doubled, just
based on GDP per employee due to use of machines."
"By the end of this century," he continued,
"most of the human race will have become cyborgs [part human, part tech or
machine]. The allure will be immortality. Machines will make breakthroughs in
medical technology, most of the human race will have more leisure time, and
we'll think we've never had it better. The concern I'm raising is that the
machines will view us as an unpredictable and dangerous species."
Del Monte believes machines will become self-conscious
and have the capabilities to protect themselves. They "might view us the
same way we view harmful insects." Humans are a species that "is
unstable, creates wars, has weapons to wipe out the world twice over, and makes
computer viruses." Hardly an appealing roommate.
He wrote the book as "a warning." Artificial
intelligence is becoming more and more capable, and we're adopting it as
quickly as it appears. A pacemaker operation is "quite routine," he
said, but "it uses sensors and AI to regulate your heart."
A 2009 experiment showed that robots can develop the
ability to lie to each other. Run at the Laboratory of Intelligent Systems in
the Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale of Lausanne, Switzerland, the experiment had
robots designed to cooperate in finding beneficial resources like energy and
avoiding the hazardous ones. Shockingly, the robots learned to lie to each
other in an attempt to hoard the beneficial resources for themselves.
"The implication is that they're also learning
self-preservation," Del Monte told us. "Whether or not they're
conscious is a moot point."
http://www.businessinsider.com/louis-del-monte-interview-on-the-singularity-2014-7
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